Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 12.535894 14.609443 16.865386 19.495144 22.469205 25.720968 29.537797
2025-11-02 8.798441 11.570505 14.898008 19.152317 24.409359 30.652549 38.583736
2025-11-09 6.588700 9.563342 13.427458 18.737783 25.757393 34.621136 46.546529
2025-11-16 5.106729 8.080727 12.216239 18.256305 26.697390 37.898571 53.672881
2025-11-23 3.969340 6.807358 11.008852 17.491681 27.009096 40.196707 59.511220
2025-11-30 3.458991 6.349688 10.858950 18.137514 29.257232 45.205436 69.295950
2025-12-07 3.049706 5.965454 10.738898 18.766597 31.477266 50.273658 79.448016
2025-12-14 2.528100 5.288119 10.040411 18.377370 32.066270 52.941561 86.230937
2025-12-21 2.087737 4.667733 9.335695 17.866542 32.368941 55.137490 92.378173
2025-12-28 1.918653 4.527284 9.438168 18.708046 34.900940 60.903137 104.270214
2026-01-04 1.737700 4.328248 9.401425 19.287185 37.019064 66.119433 115.570547
2026-01-11 1.522296 4.015284 9.103739 19.351820 38.240063 69.933636 124.821453
2026-01-18 1.315036 3.697745 8.788707 19.417802 39.592178 74.258264 135.516748
2026-01-25 1.102649 3.325281 8.314939 19.140665 40.335153 77.671260 145.044382
2026-02-01 0.915848 2.968211 7.813089 18.737657 40.793183 80.607261 153.935048
2026-02-08 0.756051 2.637546 7.310107 18.258154 41.040027 83.157729 162.279497
2026-02-15 0.607770 2.294557 6.714524 17.493802 40.635911 84.476007 168.506876
2026-02-22 0.555809 2.221925 6.758536 18.139764 43.113921 91.232801 184.754781
2026-03-01 0.508491 2.151094 6.794897 18.768926 45.601731 98.145508 201.625497
2026-03-08 0.425106 1.935483 6.416393 18.379659 45.906489 100.911030 211.031268
2026-03-15 0.350820 1.725256 6.011368 17.868776 45.891419 103.035777 219.331290
2026-03-22 0.330054 1.707828 6.146344 18.710371 48.915516 111.311547 239.620013
2026-03-29 0.303057 1.657613 6.177334 19.289571 51.392050 118.621118 258.390553